CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs illwill (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x202abb9a80673068ec5ce9294d60e31eeaf3ab5c82fb21fb0c9142e5d0cab385
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FaZeof FaZe, illwill
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked illwill | 11c | 1,762$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 258 | 46.1%119 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed illwill | 9c | 1,678$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed illwill | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked illwill | 16c | 1,091$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed illwill | 10c | 946$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.6 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked illwill | 32c | 797.7$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.85 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed illwill | 10c | 577.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed FaZe | 66c | 560.41$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.05 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed illwill | 37c | 549.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed illwill | 35c | 488.3$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.9 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed FaZe | 68c | 360.1$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.89 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed FaZe | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked FaZe | 63c | 279.32$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked illwill | 10c | 270.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked illwill | 24c | 231.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.21 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed illwill | 18c | 224.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed illwill | 23c | 220.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed FaZe | 70c | 209.33$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed FaZe | 77c | 201.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe180…889bbacked FaZe | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked illwill | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed FaZe | 66c | 147.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed FaZe | 65c | 146.85$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…dc5cbacked FaZe | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked illwill | 34c | 141.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1580…a7c9backed FaZe | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FaZe | 66c | 137.09$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed illwill | 30c | 125.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed illwill | 32c | 114.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed FaZe | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed FaZe | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03e…1091backed FaZe | 70c | 96.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7e34backed illwill | 12c | 93.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed FaZe | 79c | 91.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed illwill | 34c | 90$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked FaZe | 64c | 82.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 218 | 57.3%125 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 23c | 82.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceef…80b1backed FaZe | 64c | 69.71$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed illwill | 20c | 58.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed FaZe | 69c | 44.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed FaZe | 69c | 38.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked FaZe | 64c | 38.16$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabc4…9307backed FaZe | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed FaZe | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked FaZe | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs illwill (BO3) - HLC Belgrade Pro Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs illwill - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.