TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x213e…dc5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT5962.7%37 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.65
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$39.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.67
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,008.9%+$201.78
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$38.57
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.71
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$20.4
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$118.1
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.09
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.92
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+245.7%+$58.98
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$12.81
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.37
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.04
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$42.1
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$51.89
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+82.5%+$20.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-4.5) vs. USA (+4.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.