Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolzano: Sandro Kopp vs Sebastian Sorger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203962217787c2179e6fc69c545615d0b5e9115a4aa299db35bbaff14895b965
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Sorgerof Sandro Kopp, Sebastian Sorger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Sandro Kopp | 60c | 5,043$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,005.2 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sandro Kopp | 71c | 2,679$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Sorger | 29c | 1,888$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.65 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 1,877$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.49 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Sebastian Sorger | 26c | 755.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 750$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Sandro Kopp | 54c | 513.87$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…1cebbacked Sebastian Sorger | 52c | 443.49$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sandro Kopp | 36c | 330.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Sorger | 30c | 307.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Sorger | 30c | 265.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.13 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sebastian Sorger | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.77 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 223.86$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sebastian Sorger | 26c | 212.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sebastian Sorger | 26c | 192.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Sebastian Sorger | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Sandro Kopp | 55c | 119.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 222 | 62.6%139 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Sebastian Sorger | 27c | 107.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 104.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Sebastian Sorger | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Sebastian Sorger | 62c | 68.13$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca76…d365backed Sebastian Sorger | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 62 | 98.4%61 W · 1 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 77cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…1a32backed Sebastian Sorger | 74c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +17.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Sebastian Sorger | 29c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Sandro Kopp | 57c | 54.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 421 | 51.1%215 W · 206 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243f…c5b9backed Sandro Kopp | 62c | 54.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Sebastian Sorger | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Sandro Kopp | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Sandro Kopp | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Sebastian Sorger | 34c | 47.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sandro Kopp | 70c | 40.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Sebastian Sorger | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…41b2backed Sebastian Sorger | 26c | 39.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sandro Kopp | 67c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Sandro Kopp | 56c | 28.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Sandro Kopp | 60c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Sandro Kopp | 68c | 21.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Sandro Kopp | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf2…898ebacked Sebastian Sorger | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.