Tennis · resolved market
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Ognjen Milic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x203aa3e4a866c5aee0c99bebc9ed4aad4661f39d29f9ea19dd846b948e337ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jesper de Jongof Jesper de Jong, Ognjen Milic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ognjen Milic | 10c | 6,642$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.12 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ognjen Milic | 17c | 3,452$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.7 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Ognjen Milic | 10c | 2,666$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.48 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ognjen Milic | 2c | 2,615$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Jesper de Jong | 79c | 1,437$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Ognjen Milic | 16c | 1,405$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.8 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ognjen Milic | 13c | 833.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Ognjen Milic | 11c | 726.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.48 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 713.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Ognjen Milic | 22c | 699$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ognjen Milic | 6c | 625$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ognjen Milic | 13c | 605.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ognjen Milic | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ognjen Milic | 21c | 499.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Ognjen Milic | 18c | 449.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 412.35$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…e601backed Jesper de Jong | 79c | 266.19$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Ognjen Milic | 10c | 215.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Ognjen Milic | 19c | 213.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Ognjen Milic | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 121 | 7.4%9 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Ognjen Milic | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 35.1%78 W · 144 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Jesper de Jong | 76c | 113.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ognjen Milic | 16c | 109.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Ognjen Milic | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Ognjen Milic | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…06e6backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 74.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Ognjen Milic | 20c | 68.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Ognjen Milic | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.