Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Clervie Ngounoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2052c43a572baa7768841c7e06adb380521b6080008216b0ea9d083421bae832
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clervie Ngounoueof Anna-Lena Friedsam, Clervie Ngounoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Clervie Ngounoue | 66c | 3,919$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.59 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Clervie Ngounoue | 71c | 2,300$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.22 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 28c | 1,773$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.47 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 1,423$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.73 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clervie Ngounoue | 75c | 935.69$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 821.51$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.73 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 774.48$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.06 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 582.28$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 287 | 53%152 W · 135 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 33c | 564.22$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 1,375 | 38.3%527 W · 848 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 42c | 533.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.96 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 41c | 519.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 33c | 314.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 24c | 199.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 44c | 181.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 177.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 1,632 | 52.7%860 W · 772 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 20c | 163$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 707 | 30%212 W · 495 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 54c | 141.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 56c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 993 | 56%556 W · 437 L | +33.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 42c | 131$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 20c | 129.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5,041 | 41.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L | -83.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,206 | 52.4%632 W · 574 L | +27.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 107.32$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Clervie Ngounoue | 66c | 102.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 6,867 | 48.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L | +61.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 46c | 102.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 3,885 | 55%2,137 W · 1,748 L | +111.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 74c | 86.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 76.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 46c | 57.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Clervie Ngounoue | 69c | 56.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 4,626 | 67.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L | +310.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 55.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 55.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 49c | 50.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 48.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…5e23backed Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 48.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…8578backed Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 48.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 43c | 46.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 451 | 52.8%238 W · 213 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 48c | 39.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Clervie Ngounoue | 66c | 38.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 1,496 | 43.6%652 W · 844 L | -29.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 48c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 44c | 33.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Anna-Lena Friedsam | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Clervie Ngounoue | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anna-Lena Friedsam | 42c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 56c | 20.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Clervie Ngounoue | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Clervie Ngounoue | 57c | 18.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 75c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Clervie Ngounoue | 72c | 16.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 1,892 | 57.5%1,087 W · 805 L | +105.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.