Tennis · resolved market
Valencia: Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Adolfo Vallejo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a459386141af6a39f1ae45c52e946506e2bd97a3e938b87e217322e667bc2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adolfo Vallejoof Bernabe Zapata Miralles, Adolfo Vallejo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 4c | 10,734$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.83 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 9c | 7,467$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.23 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 3c | 3,383$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…4168backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 9c | 3,369$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773d…fb50backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 8c | 3,260$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 3c | 2,991$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 4c | 1,006$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 1c | 881.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 6c | 766.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 7c | 658.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 7c | 540$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 8c | 474.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…ad5ebacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 8c | 466.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 5c | 415.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 759 | 12.1%92 W · 667 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 7c | 413$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 9c | 335.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…debfbacked Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 4c | 321.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 23cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bernabe Zapata Miralles | 7c | 150.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Adolfo Vallejo | 20c | 81.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.