Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20c394ae57b20e9e8660315ecc7d65b7eb38d99889aa3e8e43f85d2e0f0da4ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eastern Washington Eaglesof Eastern Washington Eagles, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,106 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 52c | 3,872$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.88 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 1,829$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 632.12$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 292.9$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Weber State Wildcats | 49c | 261.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Weber State Wildcats | 42c | 256.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 233.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 55c | 138.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 104.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 95.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 46c | 84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 83.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 41c | 43.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 51c | 35.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 30.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda1…454fbacked Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 30.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29aa…e4eabacked Weber State Wildcats | 48c | 30.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Weber State Wildcats | 47c | 25.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Weber State Wildcats | 52c | 21.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-2.5)this page
- Spread: Eastern Washington Eagles (-3.5)Eastern Washington Eagles won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington EaglesEastern Washington Eagles won
- Weber State Wildcats vs. Eastern Washington Eagles: O/U 154.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.