NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20e734fdd0525af9edf56d1eacd498b60bf7859f6175a96801297c24366da610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Jazz, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz | 17c | 3,788$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.94 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Jazz | 3c | 2,560$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.52 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Jazz | 7c | 2,460$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.89 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Jazz | 18c | 1,911$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.78 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jazz | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jazz | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Jazz | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Jazz | 13c | 900$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Jazz | 14c | 799.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…3bffbacked Jazz | 8c | 725.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Jazz | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Jazz | 16c | 349.93$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f32…8463backed Jazz | 11c | 323.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.54 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Jazz | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…9cc5backed Jazz | 19c | 256.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 79c | 216.45$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Jazz | 8c | 156.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Jazz | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Jazz | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Jazz | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Jazz | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Jazz | 17c | 99.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Jazz | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Jazz | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Jazz | 18c | 58.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.