Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Bryce Nakashima vs Alexander Okonkwo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211af2541abe5f8087d0ba83bc885600e3b0f272259dd309134d92290c34d040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Okonkwoof Bryce Nakashima, Alexander Okonkwo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Okonkwo | 21c | 6,753$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355.08 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Alexander Okonkwo | 55c | 782.59$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.3 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexander Okonkwo | 24c | 643.46$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.05 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bryce Nakashima | 76c | 502.07$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.49 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Bryce Nakashima | 71c | 416$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Bryce Nakashima | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6017…3bfebacked Alexander Okonkwo | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +134.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bryce Nakashima | 42c | 317.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.81 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Alexander Okonkwo | 76c | 287.55$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bryce Nakashima | 75c | 282$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.21 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Bryce Nakashima | 79c | 153.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bryce Nakashima | 43c | 150.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Alexander Okonkwo | 15c | 140.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Bryce Nakashima | 76c | 116.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Bryce Nakashima | 75c | 105.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bryce Nakashima | 80c | 105$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Bryce Nakashima | 31c | 103$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alexander Okonkwo | 78c | 101$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Bryce Nakashima | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Bryce Nakashima | 78c | 97.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Bryce Nakashima | 60c | 90.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Bryce Nakashima | 77c | 78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Bryce Nakashima | 74c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Bryce Nakashima | 43c | 65.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bryce Nakashima | 72c | 65.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Bryce Nakashima | 74c | 48.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Bryce Nakashima | 76c | 36.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Bryce Nakashima | 75c | 36.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 1,418 | 55%780 W · 638 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bryce Nakashima | 39c | 25.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Bryce Nakashima | 73c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Alexander Okonkwo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 576 | 45.7%263 W · 313 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.