TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Otakar Esports vs KPI Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Otakar Esportsof Otakar Esports, KPI Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,934

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,941 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbb3…76a9backed Otakar Esports49c2,559$1,258 inWon+$1,301.0721558.1%125 W · 90 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KPI Gaming49c1,859$914 inLost-$913.821,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked KPI Gaming48c949.88$458 inLost-$458.0345033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Otakar Esports64c853.95$543 inWon+$310.5178162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Otakar Esports60c261.13$156 inWon+$104.831227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed KPI Gaming50c194$97 inLost-$9723644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed KPI Gaming51c190.31$97 inLost-$97.061338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked KPI Gaming10c174.62$17 inLost-$17.3340731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked KPI Gaming53c117.35$62 inLost-$62.22343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked KPI Gaming46c98.86$45 inLost-$45.4842051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed KPI Gaming50c89.06$44 inLost-$44.1799945.9%459 W · 540 L-27.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed KPI Gaming45c86.98$39 inLost-$38.9426436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked KPI Gaming13c84.99$11 inLost-$11.153461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed KPI Gaming39c64.26$25 inLost-$24.7670251.3%360 W · 342 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked KPI Gaming48c50.46$24 inLost-$24.2230828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed KPI Gaming45c50.38$23 inLost-$22.8422542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed KPI Gaming42c41.89$18 inLost-$17.541258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed KPI Gaming51c33$17 inLost-$16.8314447.2%68 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed KPI Gaming46c32.13$15 inLost-$14.753333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked KPI Gaming49c30.07$15 inLost-$14.869346.2%43 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Otakar Esports63c15.98$10 inWon+$5.9125756%144 W · 113 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.