Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs KPI Gaming (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02bb62dbb73ad98fb853dd3e74155ef7fa32a00ac9cae293cf1b17262e157624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otakar Esportsof Otakar Esports, KPI Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Otakar Esports | 67c | 2,046$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.91 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked KPI Gaming | 31c | 895.01$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.45 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed KPI Gaming | 38c | 667.15$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed KPI Gaming | 40c | 607.08$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Otakar Esports | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…bcd2backed KPI Gaming | 35c | 550.08$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.19 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed KPI Gaming | 29c | 527.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.89 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Otakar Esports | 62c | 314.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed KPI Gaming | 14c | 301.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Otakar Esports | 55c | 269.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Otakar Esports | 68c | 263.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed KPI Gaming | 13c | 238.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed KPI Gaming | 34c | 236.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked KPI Gaming | 32c | 221.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed KPI Gaming | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KPI Gaming | 33c | 191.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked KPI Gaming | 18c | 175.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Otakar Esports | 80c | 154$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KPI Gaming | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports | 66c | 140.15$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.65 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Otakar Esports | 67c | 132$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed KPI Gaming | 35c | 101.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…b3d9backed KPI Gaming | 35c | 98.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Otakar Esports | 68c | 98.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd74…76b9backed KPI Gaming | 35c | 93.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…108dbacked KPI Gaming | 14c | 78.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Otakar Esports | 65c | 75.9$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Otakar Esports | 75c | 67.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked KPI Gaming | 38c | 60.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Otakar Esports | 55c | 58.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Otakar Esports | 74c | 56.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked KPI Gaming | 38c | 55.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed KPI Gaming | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs KPI Gaming (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs KPI Gaming - Map 1 WinnerOtakar Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs KPI Gaming - Map 2 WinnerOtakar Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.