Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a69c89e7776b76514181e8e37004413fad278fd7ecb410d03ecde61b27a7b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof Wagner Seahawks, LIU Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks | 2c | 11,959$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…1e83backed Wagner Seahawks | 13c | 1,573$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Wagner Seahawks | 3c | 1,430$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wagner Seahawks | 10c | 1,143$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.29 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…ed88backed Wagner Seahawks | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 13c | 999.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 828.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wagner Seahawks | 4c | 674.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wagner Seahawks | 14c | 650$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.74 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Wagner Seahawks | 13c | 496.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 28c | 442.86$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Wagner Seahawks | 27c | 364.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 342$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wagner Seahawks | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 296.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Wagner Seahawks | 17c | 295.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wagner Seahawks | 14c | 277.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 249.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…7b2fbacked Wagner Seahawks | 18c | 213.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 187$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 13c | 172.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 157.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Wagner Seahawks | 13c | 155.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…0fb0backed Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed LIU Sharks | 73c | 135.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 132$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wagner Seahawks | 15c | 66.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Wagner Seahawks | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Wagner Seahawks | 21c | 61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked LIU Sharks | 74c | 27.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…55b1backed LIU Sharks | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed LIU Sharks | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked LIU Sharks | 78c | 19.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed LIU Sharks | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked LIU Sharks | 79c | 15.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked LIU Sharks | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 100 | 95%95 W · 5 L | +21.3wins | +0.21per pick | 74cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharksthis page
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-9.5)LIU Sharks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.