Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: LIU Sharks (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a611dc07dd04c8238758029bae50aabf194b13afd3261b39049d28e419a4b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LIU Sharksof LIU Sharks, Wagner Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Wagner Seahawks | 47c | 2,259$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.15 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LIU Sharks | 54c | 668.13$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.83 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LIU Sharks | 52c | 294.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 46c | 283.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 248.15$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wagner Seahawks | 46c | 127.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Wagner Seahawks | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 124$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked LIU Sharks | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed LIU Sharks | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed LIU Sharks | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LIU Sharks (-9.5)this page
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU SharksLIU Sharks won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wagner Seahawks vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.