La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21ee8b554c2feefec8070cf006aff92f6d0c7023e10860b2bf029c35cccb6c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,310 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 59c | 8,934$5,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,294.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 4,995$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,997.76 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 60c | 4,995$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 2,494$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.27 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 42c | 1,669$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.13 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 9c | 1,098$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.84 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 990.79$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.15 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 40c | 497.5$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.5 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 41c | 315.17$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 211.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 58c | 154.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Yes | 41c | 154.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 153.11$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.87 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 59c | 147.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 40c | 130.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 40c | 107.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 61c | 88.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 41c | 61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 40c | 57.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 39c | 54.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 41c | 49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 58c | 42.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 60c | 37.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 40c | 35.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 60c | 31.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…910bbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 59c | 20.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Cádiz CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.