Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21f242b88e0ef70a52326b599aa47118b3ec2f2a726fcbe1e6b342375372e7ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida, Miguel Tobon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Miguel Tobon | 6c | 13,399$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.94 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Miguel Tobon | 3c | 7,269$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.22 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Miguel Tobon | 5c | 2,572$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Miguel Tobon | 4c | 2,245$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 2,167$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.59 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miguel Tobon | 5c | 1,991$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Miguel Tobon | 11c | 1,530$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Miguel Tobon | 2c | 881.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Miguel Tobon | 2c | 877.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Miguel Tobon | 13c | 759.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.34 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 632.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.4 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Miguel Tobon | 5c | 589.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Miguel Tobon | 9c | 549.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 407.86$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 353.43$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Miguel Tobon | 5c | 311.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 303.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.11 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Miguel Tobon | 34c | 255.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.71 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Miguel Tobon | 9c | 246.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 159 | 28.9%46 W · 113 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Miguel Tobon | 9c | 242.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Miguel Tobon | 34c | 217.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 210.44$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 56c | 198.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…1414backed Miguel Tobon | 26c | 157.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Miguel Tobon | 8c | 155.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Miguel Tobon | 9c | 149.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Miguel Tobon | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 112.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Miguel Tobon | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Miguel Tobon | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miguel Tobon | 10c | 98.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed Miguel Tobon | 36c | 57.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed Miguel Tobon | 38c | 53.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 64c | 45.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 68c | 43.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 58c | 38.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 71c | 36.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 61c | 29.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Miguel Tobon | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 60c | 20.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 62c | 20.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 66c | 16.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Almeida vs TobonAlmeida won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.