Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2203391d1a289f184dfdbdeced7a858d75bde7ed5ec67dab43bf65cd3485523f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Florida Atlantic Owls, Temple Owls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x580f…d3e2backed Temple Owls | 46c | 1,792$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 52c | 1,166$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.25 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Temple Owls | 48c | 696.94$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.05 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…5680backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 642.47$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f00…dc0fbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 577.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…2bf2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 54c | 571.86$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…f0a8backed Temple Owls | 49c | 296.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Temple Owls | 47c | 252.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Temple Owls | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Temple Owls | 48c | 177$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 143.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 55c | 63.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Temple Owls | 49c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Temple Owls | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Temple Owls | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Temple Owls | 48c | 31.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Temple Owls | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62eb…0d51backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 56c | 22.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5)this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple OwlsFlorida Atlantic Owls won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owls: O/U 150.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owls: O/U 151.5Over won
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owls: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Florida Atlantic Owls (-3.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.