College Football · resolved market
Will Kentucky beat South Carolina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22052690190abaa64b84dbdcb7356c07305113118e03cd5366ba51d07ebc2f25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Carolinaof Kentucky, South Carolina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kentucky | 15c | 5,945$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.9 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed South Carolina | 70c | 4,709$3,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Kentucky | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438d…3ec8backed Kentucky | 53c | 1,031$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked South Carolina | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Kentucky | 78c | 128.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Kentucky | 37c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Kentucky | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…3f7abacked South Carolina | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Kentucky | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c5…f001backed South Carolina | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed South Carolina | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed South Carolina | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Kentucky | 76c | 47.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kentucky | 74c | 28.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Kentucky | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Kentucky | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.