Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22065a360b034553829fbe97fdcaf19010e3c38f31cd0ea269c9dda39110d9db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Virginia Mountaineersof BYU Cougars, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 5,014$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,436.46 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 2,502$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.72 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 1,782$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.24 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 1,725$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.21 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.16 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 1,294$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.71 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BYU Cougars | 47c | 928.06$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 881.69$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.21 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 625.43$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 496.65$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 56c | 346.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.16 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 343.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.56 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 340.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.03 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 260.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 257.73$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 213.93$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.69 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 204.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 190.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 117.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 55c | 107.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 95.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 84.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 47c | 82.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 70.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 50.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 36.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed BYU Cougars | 46c | 31.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 31.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…b42ebacked BYU Cougars | 54c | 24.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia MountaineersWest Virginia Mountaineers won
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 139.5Over won
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 141.5Over won
- BYU Cougars vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-1.5)West Virginia Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.