Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tokyo: Yuki Mochizuki vs Omar Jasika
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2250b58b5db410699fdfcc59e25102e72ef9b578b28ae018c534268cf201f67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omar Jasikaof Yuki Mochizuki, Omar Jasika
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Omar Jasika | 73c | 12,008$8,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.1 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yuki Mochizuki | 25c | 5,399$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.22 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 26c | 2,492$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.42 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 25c | 2,007$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…9b39backed Omar Jasika | 75c | 1,337$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 24c | 1,161$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 1,003$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.35 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yuki Mochizuki | 26c | 695.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.22 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 623.85$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 25c | 535$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 211 | 17.5%37 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 482.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Omar Jasika | 79c | 478.47$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 451.13$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Omar Jasika | 73c | 447.36$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 428.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…aaa3backed Omar Jasika | 79c | 252.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacca…3fb0backed Yuki Mochizuki | 11c | 216$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 39c | 207.15$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Omar Jasika | 70c | 200.04$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.34 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Omar Jasika | 74c | 180.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 11c | 162$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…4a58backed Yuki Mochizuki | 11c | 162$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yuki Mochizuki | 26c | 150.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 652 | 46.3%302 W · 350 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yuki Mochizuki | 16c | 110.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omar Jasika | 77c | 109.07$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 107.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Omar Jasika | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Yuki Mochizuki | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 557 | 53.7%299 W · 258 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 37c | 95.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omar Jasika | 75c | 73.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 27c | 72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 26c | 58.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 742 | 46.4%344 W · 398 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Omar Jasika | 78c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Omar Jasika | 58c | 51.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yuki Mochizuki | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Omar Jasika | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Omar Jasika | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…f052backed Omar Jasika | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Omar Jasika | 59c | 30.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Omar Jasika | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Omar Jasika | 66c | 28.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,011 | 41.4%419 W · 592 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Omar Jasika | 58c | 27.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Omar Jasika | 76c | 26.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Omar Jasika | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Omar Jasika | 77c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Omar Jasika | 75c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Omar Jasika | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.