College Football · resolved market
UCLA vs. Northwestern
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x225140ed25261b1a2e8f6c007ec44d40629a38dc8b8eef5d70df536bf9d3b5ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwesternof UCLA, Northwestern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Northwestern | 80c | 12,120$9,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.11 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 26c | 11,959$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.92 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Northwestern | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked UCLA | 34c | 5,975$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.33 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed UCLA | 21c | 4,233$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.42 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked UCLA | 1c | 3,717$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA | 8c | 3,461$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.36 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern | 67c | 1,557$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.33 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Northwestern | 65c | 605.11$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.79 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Northwestern | 67c | 504.14$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.84 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed UCLA | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Northwestern | 69c | 433$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Northwestern | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UCLA | 25c | 290$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern | 69c | 283.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed UCLA | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Northwestern | 79c | 158$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Northwestern | 75c | 116.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UCLA | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Northwestern | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked UCLA | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Northwestern | 66c | 53.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UCLA | 35c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed UCLA | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed Northwestern | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Northwestern | 66c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA vs. Northwesternthis page
- Spread: Northwestern (-6.5)UCLA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.