TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,747
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,747 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb83…1e50backed Over25c3,050$763 inLost-$762.561,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under75c666$500 inWon+$166.593446.1%431 W · 503 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under75c666$500 inWon+$166.51,11746.2%516 W · 601 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c665.54$505 inWon+$160.281,65150.9%840 W · 811 L+5.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c480.1$361 inWon+$119.115,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under76c414.97$316 inWon+$98.5910158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over13c364.63$49 inLost-$48.8182842.4%351 W · 477 L+19.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under76c197.36$150 inWon+$47.373852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under79c187.68$148 inWon+$39.674566.7%30 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over23c173.91$40 inLost-$409516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c7…b8e1backed Over23c156.89$36 inLost-$36.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under75c150.71$114 inWon+$37.022,49140%997 W · 1,494 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over24c140$34 inLost-$33.614446.5%67 W · 77 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over24c108.95$26 inLost-$26.0653946.9%253 W · 286 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under76c98.71$75 inWon+$23.6915352.9%81 W · 72 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under75c92$69 inWon+$2319354.4%105 W · 88 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under79c50.74$40 inWon+$10.7413666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffcb…d630backed Under78c38.69$30 inWon+$8.513100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf958…31b3backed Under74c27.03$20 inWon+$7.031540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b73…02c0backed Under77c25.97$20 inWon+$5.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c20.49$15 inWon+$5.126051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under76c15.59$12 inWon+$3.742462.5%15 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under77c15.4$12 inWon+$3.541,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.