Asian League · resolved market
Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66b42300eeb58504462c8ad041e8a7d64b81bce81c1d56dccff3abd686513db8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gwangju FCof FC Anyang, Gwangju FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gwangju FC | 68c | 3,958$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked FC Anyang | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Anyang | 33c | 3,008$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.95 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked FC Anyang | 32c | 1,159$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 1,072$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Gwangju FC | 69c | 1,067$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Gwangju FC | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FC Anyang | 13c | 631.63$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gwangju FC | 68c | 583.88$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed FC Anyang | 18c | 555.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Gwangju FC | 68c | 550.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.24 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 433.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Anyang | 33c | 391.4$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked FC Anyang | 18c | 369.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Gwangju FC | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Gwangju FC | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked FC Anyang | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked FC Anyang | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FC Anyang | 31c | 139.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed FC Anyang | 26c | 113.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…8215backed FC Anyang | 31c | 111.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…a736backed FC Anyang | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aef…26f6backed Gwangju FC | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked FC Anyang | 34c | 91.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Gwangju FC | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Anyang | 32c | 80.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gwangju FC | 67c | 75.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Gwangju FC | 70c | 51.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d7cabacked Gwangju FC | 68c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Gwangju FC | 76c | 27.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…5ea3backed Gwangju FC | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 21.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Gwangju FC | 69c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)this page
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: FC Anyang O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: FC Anyang O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: FC Anyang O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: Gwangju FC O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-2.5)Gwangju FC won
- Spread: Gwangju FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.