TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,921
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,132

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,921 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07ea…a6babacked Over62c1,608$1,000 inLost-$1,0008843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under54c1,387$755 inWon+$632.71,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1016…b09bbacked Over46c1,130$520 inLost-$519.86453.1%34 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under39c1,058$415 inWon+$642.864369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over69c727.34$500 inLost-$5002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c626.32$245 inWon+$380.892,42438%920 W · 1,504 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c308$98 inWon+$209.925,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ec…c077backed Under14c227.34$32 inWon+$195.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over68c220.58$150 inLost-$149.993852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over68c98.51$67 inLost-$66.9910158.4%59 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under32c83.21$27 inWon+$56.341,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under32c78.39$25 inWon+$53.427037%100 W · 170 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under38c63.24$24 inWon+$39.2172144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under46c61.3$28 inWon+$33.136352.9%192 W · 171 L-1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa496…0f5abacked Over69c58$40 inLost-$40.02955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under37c54.89$20 inWon+$34.6258542.7%250 W · 335 L-27.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c52.62$21 inLost-$21.3721652.3%113 W · 103 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over50c50$25 inLost-$252445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under35c46.14$16 inWon+$29.9974739.4%294 W · 453 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under49c45.38$22 inWon+$23.068953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under50c44.8$22 inWon+$22.48341%34 W · 49 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c41.39$29 inLost-$2913855.8%77 W · 61 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over54c34$18 inLost-$18.361,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under34c30.78$10 inWon+$20.312045.8%55 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under57c18.06$10 inWon+$7.692152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.