Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22abcc728bc8949265efb865fb87915964aad95f631d8c3f604a1766c1b1b540
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 77c | 24,974$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,774.48 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 23c | 7,343$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.8 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 4,179$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.13 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 3,401$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 23c | 2,268$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.91 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 23c | 1,110$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +10.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 928.83$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 23c | 858.72$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.31 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 22c | 808.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 23c | 758.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.32 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 23c | 746.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 23c | 746.68$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.09 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 729.61$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.08 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 23c | 680.87$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 77c | 680.87$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 76c | 619.74$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 23c | 566.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 510.41$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 41c | 438.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed No | 76c | 430.92$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 19c | 382.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 18c | 300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 23c | 291.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 23c | 268.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 23c | 231.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 193.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 16c | 171.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 23c | 157.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 76c | 135.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 17c | 109.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd0…78febacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 24c | 92.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…0cf7backed Yes | 18c | 82.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 23c | 69.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36f…e5fdbacked No | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713a…258dbacked Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 24c | 63.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90c…7dedbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 24c | 60.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 23c | 58.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 17c | 57.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 48.35$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 60c | 48.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…4f45backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…98fcbacked Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 76c | 40.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 60c | 39.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 60c | 39.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 60c | 34.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 60c | 34.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 60c | 30.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc987…123abacked No | 76c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4847…e064backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…a904backed No | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed No | 77c | 13.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.