Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22c19b42dab68012e18c28dcf13c38328da8cd8de7b63dc89f17bce71a392f34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Troy Trojansof Southern Miss Golden Eagles, Troy Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 1,720$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Troy Trojans | 80c | 1,504$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.97 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 980.95$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.19 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Troy Trojans | 78c | 511.17$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Troy Trojans | 80c | 339.1$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.76 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Troy Trojans | 76c | 311.81$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.16 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 26c | 280.13$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 20c | 250.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Troy Trojans | 79c | 198.62$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 24c | 182$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Troy Trojans | 77c | 138.65$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 22c | 107.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 25c | 95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Troy Trojans | 77c | 82.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 24c | 80.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Troy Trojans | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Troy Trojans | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Southern Miss Golden Eagles | 23c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Troy Trojans | 78c | 38.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Troy Trojans | 76c | 33.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Troy Trojans | 80c | 27.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Troy Trojans | 78c | 26.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Troy Trojans | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Troy Trojans | 76c | 22.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Troy Trojans | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Troy Trojans | 76c | 17.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Troy Trojans | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojansthis page
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Troy Trojans: O/U 147.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.