Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rogaska Slatina: Sara Mikaca vs Alja Senica
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230abf8660a69e72555fe50e2d7436963b44362ec93e8fb2eae03dce014f8f85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alja Senicaof Sara Mikaca, Alja Senica
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sara Mikaca | 20c | 8,687$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alja Senica | 77c | 6,663$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9145backed Sara Mikaca | 31c | 935.48$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alja Senica | 73c | 743.85$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Sara Mikaca | 38c | 578.79$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Alja Senica | 73c | 571.94$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Alja Senica | 74c | 562.19$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.24 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Alja Senica | 64c | 514.14$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.14 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Sara Mikaca | 17c | 376.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b09…d2efbacked Alja Senica | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Sara Mikaca | 40c | 79.28$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alja Senica | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…f00bbacked Alja Senica | 45c | 66.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Alja Senica | 78c | 65.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sara Mikaca | 35c | 59.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Sara Mikaca | 65c | 50.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Alja Senica | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Alja Senica | 37c | 41.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Sara Mikaca | 35c | 38.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sara Mikaca | 38c | 37.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sara Mikaca | 62c | 31.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Sara Mikaca | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d1…cac5backed Alja Senica | 63c | 23.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Alja Senica | 56c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alja Senica | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sara Mikaca | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Alja Senica | 74c | 15.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.