Other European Leagues · resolved market
IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23352a4609e278cfb2eec845a06917dc4ef0affd6ee37dd3079ff01f04740bcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 37c | 1,212$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.11 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Under | 63c | 499.97$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +13.2wins | +0.35per pick | 44cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 43c | 450.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed Under | 55c | 369.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 49c | 320$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 63c | 299.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.99 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 259.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.06 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 38c | 242.82$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 221.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.59 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 40c | 187.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over | 41c | 159.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…a02dbacked Over | 36c | 145.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 59c | 123.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.84 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x662d…d041backed Over | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…5e2abacked Over | 40c | 108.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 96.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 47c | 80.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 64c | 67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 63.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 53.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 35c | 42.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 30.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…7d35backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5046…7676backed Under | 64c | 18.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 3.5this page
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: IK Sirius O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: IK Sirius O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 1.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 2.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 4.5Over won
- IK Sirius vs. Mjallby AIF: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)Mjallby AIF won
- Spread: IK Sirius (-2.5)Mjallby AIF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.