Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236db18b02b93b142b2bc0df14ba3cdebdd7c892951f3d2a3aa66dc7d098df71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,225.27 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 12,000$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.22 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 11,836$5,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,724.82 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 10,071$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Under | 47c | 2,199$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.34 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 1,872$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.56 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…7c70backed Over | 58c | 1,267$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 889$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.17 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 589.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.32 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Under | 46c | 227$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.05 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 48c | 218.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 184.3$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 45c | 149$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.05 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Over | 53c | 147.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 27.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5this page
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-4.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State RamsColorado State Rams won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.