Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0801f449a83a25bf9298d990ea2962ad417c7beed88275b399a217d9f6025b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 14,640$7,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,342.86 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado State Rams | 49c | 8,031$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,074.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado State Rams | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.69 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 1,422$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 759.65$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.3 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 640$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 459.35$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 48c | 455$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.58 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 340.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.13 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 298.65$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 285.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 112.3$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado State Rams | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado State Rams | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 52c | 71.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Colorado State Rams | 66c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado State Rams (-4.5)this page
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State RamsColorado State Rams won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 136.5Over won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 137.5Over won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.