World Politics · resolved market
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23abb31f7161a3cb469d42bfbc272a106e91e1ff2ee5608fb220444d83f53d7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9163…82aebacked No | 58c | 399.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…b529backed Yes | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.72 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…8efebacked Yes | 39c | 253.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -63%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 32c | 171.19$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…0bffbacked No | 74c | 110.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…6618backed Yes | 58c | 94.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8e…c096backed Yes | 45c | 47.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca4…7e83backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 24-26 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?this page
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 21-23 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?No won
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 27-29 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?Yes won
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 30-32 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?No won
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win 33 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?No won
- Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win fewer than 21 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.