Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Mika Brunold vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2401d36e188e52d40548e233fa5009c223c904be8b26bb63c274bce4044093fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mika Brunoldof Mika Brunold, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,991
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alex Barrena | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mika Brunold | 33c | 1,845$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.45 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mika Brunold | 16c | 1,724$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mika Brunold | 70c | 1,191$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…fcc9backed Mika Brunold | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mika Brunold | 70c | 950$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alex Barrena | 30c | 950$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Mika Brunold | 65c | 500.86$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Barrena | 35c | 389.89$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…cfb2backed Alex Barrena | 80c | 381.25$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Barrena | 70c | 319$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Alex Barrena | 23c | 282.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Alex Barrena | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alex Barrena | 66c | 184.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.02 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Barrena | 48c | 150.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Alex Barrena | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Mika Brunold | 52c | 93.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mika Brunold | 39c | 85.78$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Alex Barrena | 33c | 59.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Mika Brunold | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Mika Brunold | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Mika Brunold | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Alex Barrena | 35c | 48.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Alex Barrena | 47c | 45.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alex Barrena | 35c | 41.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Barrena | 73c | 28.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Alex Barrena | 77c | 25.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Mika Brunold | 52c | 23.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.