CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24731d338032598bbee1b17e017f0cda64f3457fa4d99edc674ddf3a3c99b890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof KOLESIE, Atreides
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb517…06ddbacked Atreides | 76c | 2,100$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.51 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 21c | 1,192$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.87 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 41c | 867.41$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 11c | 501.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.58 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed KOLESIE | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed KOLESIE | 59c | 489.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.09 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…a123backed KOLESIE | 30c | 478.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.01 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Atreides | 43c | 477.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Atreides | 71c | 464.7$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked Atreides | 68c | 438.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed KOLESIE | 25c | 416$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Atreides | 45c | 350$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed KOLESIE | 55c | 350$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KOLESIE | 40c | 337.06$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked KOLESIE | 57c | 293.21$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed KOLESIE | 32c | 270.88$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked KOLESIE | 41c | 208.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.03 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed KOLESIE | 47c | 198.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.72 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…08dbbacked KOLESIE | 34c | 145.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 60c | 119.6$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Atreides | 48c | 111.2$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a4…3ca7backed KOLESIE | 37c | 101.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Atreides | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Atreides | 42c | 96.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KOLESIE | 16c | 92.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed KOLESIE | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…b32ebacked Atreides | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed KOLESIE | 50c | 48.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…9d87backed Atreides | 68c | 44.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 231 | 50.6%117 W · 114 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed KOLESIE | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…9215backed KOLESIE | 35c | 35.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…ec55backed Atreides | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atreides | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 64c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…bf5cbacked Atreides | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Atreides | 68c | 26.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed KOLESIE | 62c | 25.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 200 | 67%134 W · 66 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed KOLESIE | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked KOLESIE | 57c | 23.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed KOLESIE | 58c | 20.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides - Map 1 WinnerAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Atreides - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.