Tennis · resolved market
ITF Leipzig: Nastasja Schunk vs Ida Wobker
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249784c5e41cc8f882a6fce899772bc0278dd28988f8d294cc402984cc2b0c30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ida Wobkerof Nastasja Schunk, Ida Wobker
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nastasja Schunk | 4c | 4,377$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Nastasja Schunk | 13c | 3,366$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nastasja Schunk | 7c | 956.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ida Wobker | 31c | 851.65$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ida Wobker | 26c | 599.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nastasja Schunk | 72c | 346.83$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ida Wobker | 79c | 153.74$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Nastasja Schunk | 73c | 140.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Nastasja Schunk | 71c | 139.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Nastasja Schunk | 71c | 139.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Nastasja Schunk | 72c | 138.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…468dbacked Nastasja Schunk | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…b0efbacked Nastasja Schunk | 15c | 118.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Nastasja Schunk | 42c | 108.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Ida Wobker | 65c | 62.77$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Nastasja Schunk | 75c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Ida Wobker | 25c | 58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ida Wobker | 78c | 49.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ida Wobker | 74c | 46.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Nastasja Schunk | 56c | 43.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Ida Wobker | 47c | 40.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +12.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ida Wobker | 73c | 29.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Nastasja Schunk | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Ida Wobker | 45c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Ida Wobker | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Nastasja Schunk | 80c | 19.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Nastasja Schunk | 77c | 16.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Nastasja Schunk | 80c | 13.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Leipzig: Nastasja Schunk vs Ida Wobkerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Schunk vs WobkerWobker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.