Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Philippines vs Indonesia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a10c52dded303652a66fd339bc6646e22957730553475b0957f3acb0a0a227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indonesiaof Philippines, Indonesia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Indonesia | 26c | 1,745$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.4 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indonesia | 37c | 1,164$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.33 | 432 | 44.2%191 W · 241 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philippines | 70c | 1,156$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.03 | 442 | 41%181 W · 261 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philippines | 59c | 609.09$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.57 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Philippines | 57c | 544.57$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.16 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Philippines | 59c | 442.59$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Philippines | 71c | 417.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Philippines | 67c | 413.45$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 510 | 47.6%243 W · 267 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…65b4backed Indonesia | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Philippines | 66c | 314.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Philippines | 65c | 294.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.78 | 250 | 40.8%102 W · 148 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4340…363dbacked Indonesia | 63c | 244.55$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philippines | 45c | 243.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.12 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6190…5d90backed Philippines | 78c | 234.78$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philippines | 45c | 214.29$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Indonesia | 33c | 207$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Philippines | 75c | 202.53$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Indonesia | 56c | 198.19$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Philippines | 75c | 184$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.86 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0787…43d5backed Indonesia | 37c | 153.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Philippines | 10c | 138.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Indonesia | 32c | 138.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Indonesia | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Indonesia | 22c | 103$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Indonesia | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Philippines | 76c | 92.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Indonesia | 25c | 89.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Philippines | 53c | 88.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Indonesia | 57c | 87.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Indonesia | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Indonesia | 28c | 78.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Philippines | 71c | 75.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 658 | 50.9%335 W · 323 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Indonesia | 22c | 64.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Philippines | 55c | 54.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Philippines | 53c | 49.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Indonesia | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Philippines | 78c | 39.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…6b54backed Indonesia | 30c | 33.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Indonesia | 70c | 31.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…26f3backed Indonesia | 55c | 26.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031b…517ebacked Indonesia | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Philippines | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.