Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gentofte: Carl Emil Overbeck vs Ivan Ivanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2507aafbfcdd1aa7c51b691f1d1b363b4330edce8ee626e2394840c30b0d5109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carl Emil Overbeckof Carl Emil Overbeck, Ivan Ivanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ivan Ivanov | 25c | 4,418$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 80c | 4,140$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.35 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Ivan Ivanov | 48c | 1,878$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 700 | 41.1%288 W · 412 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 53c | 1,500$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 56c | 1,498$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Ivan Ivanov | 17c | 940$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ivan Ivanov | 21c | 575.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 290.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 394 | 46.7%184 W · 210 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Ivan Ivanov | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Ivan Ivanov | 26c | 230.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ivan Ivanov | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ivan Ivanov | 24c | 220.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Ivan Ivanov | 21c | 157.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 60c | 139.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ivan Ivanov | 15c | 101.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 51c | 88.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.83 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ivan Ivanov | 17c | 72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Ivan Ivanov | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 60c | 46.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Carl Emil Overbeck | 60c | 45.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…c302backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 60c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Carl Emil Overbeck | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.