Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yan Cheng Chen vs Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25214829ca652dbe9d31f8076b4f15a910634e4a8b2210a1c024636ca2275679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadiof Yan Cheng Chen, Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yan Cheng Chen | 15c | 4,842$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.85 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 1,559$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.51 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yan Cheng Chen | 16c | 1,499$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yan Cheng Chen | 15c | 1,226$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.59 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 16c | 912.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 13c | 835.95$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yan Cheng Chen | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yan Cheng Chen | 16c | 575.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yan Cheng Chen | 22c | 499.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.93 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 405.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yan Cheng Chen | 15c | 239$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 13c | 222.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 80c | 124.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yan Cheng Chen | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 92.71$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Yan Cheng Chen | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8d66backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 52.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 33.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c60…4404backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 77c | 27.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Muhamad Rifqi Fitriadi | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.