Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: MIR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2521eff078929ad599d52117cc660d3644746921f6e04787c06da21dc3736f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIRof MIR, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed WIP Esports | 44c | 8,682$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.24 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIR | 42c | 3,817$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,213.59 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MIR | 60c | 2,242$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.21 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIR | 54c | 1,212$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.75 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked MIR | 75c | 992.55$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed MIR | 59c | 807.59$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MIR | 48c | 788.67$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.11 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MIR | 74c | 519.29$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed MIR | 74c | 519.29$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…8fabbacked WIP Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MIR | 39c | 390$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.12 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed WIP Esports | 60c | 202.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MIR | 54c | 182.01$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked WIP Esports | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed WIP Esports | 48c | 117.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed MIR | 43c | 112.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed MIR | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WIP Esports | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MIR | 52c | 100.46$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed MIR | 47c | 94.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked MIR | 53c | 63.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed WIP Esports | 53c | 53.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MIR | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed WIP Esports | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIR | 40c | 44.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked WIP Esports | 42c | 36.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed MIR | 45c | 33.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIR | 56c | 31.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked MIR | 73c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed MIR | 57c | 21.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: MIR vs WIP Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: WIP (-1.5) vs MIR (+1.5)MIR won
- Valorant: MIR vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group CWIP Esports won
- Valorant: MIR vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.