Tennis · resolved market
Bunschoten: Ryan Nijboer vs Guy Den Ouden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c3782c56b1924fff753e77c39a621028651932cc69d34ee6327cce19a1cd0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guy Den Oudenof Ryan Nijboer, Guy Den Ouden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Ryan Nijboer | 7c | 12,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 5,568$4,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.5 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Ryan Nijboer | 6c | 5,539$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.43 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Ryan Nijboer | 16c | 726.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.03 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Ryan Nijboer | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…e738backed Ryan Nijboer | 9c | 468.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 345$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ryan Nijboer | 24c | 301.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Ryan Nijboer | 22c | 295$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ryan Nijboer | 10c | 261$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 78c | 249.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 248.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 236.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Ryan Nijboer | 9c | 214.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b8…ff48backed Ryan Nijboer | 22c | 210.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 191.34$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ryan Nijboer | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryan Nijboer | 13c | 146.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0f…8033backed Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Guy Den Ouden | 71c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ryan Nijboer | 18c | 103.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Ryan Nijboer | 10c | 102.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Ryan Nijboer | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 16c | 95.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ryan Nijboer | 17c | 93.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…df40backed Ryan Nijboer | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…7ee6backed Ryan Nijboer | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Ryan Nijboer | 21c | 51.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ryan Nijboer | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 45.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Guy Den Ouden | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 29.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0430…80a2backed Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 24.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Guy Den Ouden | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 54c | 19.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Guy Den Ouden | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bunschoten: Ryan Nijboer vs Guy Den Oudenthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nijboer vs OudenOuden won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.