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Tennis · resolved market

Kigali: Michiel de Krom vs Jerome Kym

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jerome Kymof Michiel de Krom, Jerome Kym
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$29,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Michiel de Krom3c7,450$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.982,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Michiel de Krom0c6,025$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.622,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Michiel de Krom9c2,341$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Michiel de Krom3c1,726$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Michiel de Krom3c475$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc4…b0b5backed Michiel de Krom13c414.78$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.332010%2 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Michiel de Krom4c410.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.367,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Michiel de Krom3c359.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.112952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Michiel de Krom14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4226541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…3f91backed Michiel de Krom11c298.45$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.379824.5%24 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Michiel de Krom13c188.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.511,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Michiel de Krom6c180$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Michiel de Krom13c161.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.962516%4 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Michiel de Krom14c158$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.454434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Michiel de Krom13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.515848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Michiel de Krom10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Michiel de Krom14c82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2618233.5%61 W · 121 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.