Tennis · resolved market
Brazzaville: Michael Geerts vs Dinko Dinev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e1239cf8b2d6f925a90d6fac03470cd65f7d5de9f089ddbd905086941ace29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Geertsof Michael Geerts, Dinko Dinev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dinko Dinev | 10c | 6,252$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b2…0f1ebacked Dinko Dinev | 8c | 3,894$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.19 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Dinko Dinev | 7c | 2,807$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Dinko Dinev | 8c | 1,994$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Dinko Dinev | 5c | 1,794$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Dinko Dinev | 6c | 1,650$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dinko Dinev | 15c | 900.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Dinko Dinev | 23c | 867.74$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Dinko Dinev | 5c | 645$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Dinko Dinev | 8c | 516.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Dinko Dinev | 7c | 421.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Dinko Dinev | 16c | 323.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dinko Dinev | 6c | 304$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…5407backed Dinko Dinev | 7c | 276.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…b944backed Dinko Dinev | 6c | 263.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dinko Dinev | 22c | 249.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Dinko Dinev | 10c | 214.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…a62ebacked Michael Geerts | 79c | 191.45$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…677ebacked Dinko Dinev | 8c | 170.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Dinko Dinev | 11c | 156.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Dinko Dinev | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Dinko Dinev | 8c | 121.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dinko Dinev | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Dinko Dinev | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Dinko Dinev | 12c | 83.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Dinko Dinev | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dinko Dinev | 19c | 52.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Michael Geerts | 80c | 25.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…5eeabacked Michael Geerts | 80c | 18.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 230 | 73.9%170 W · 60 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 78cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.