Tennis · resolved market
Poznan: Maxim Mrva vs Akira Santillan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25e40ae9dd8531178dd1f3ba3c706581a76d60001ff29b6fdc4303c5ea7a6c76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxim Mrvaof Maxim Mrva, Akira Santillan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akira Santillan | 3c | 5,115$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.39 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Akira Santillan | 29c | 1,043$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Akira Santillan | 19c | 761.53$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maxim Mrva | 73c | 748.42$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akira Santillan | 10c | 648.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Akira Santillan | 27c | 548.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.95 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Akira Santillan | 27c | 509.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akira Santillan | 9c | 476.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Akira Santillan | 4c | 450.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Akira Santillan | 26c | 326.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Akira Santillan | 10c | 276.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Akira Santillan | 9c | 246.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Maxim Mrva | 72c | 209.79$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Akira Santillan | 5c | 203.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Maxim Mrva | 72c | 178.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Maxim Mrva | 74c | 133.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 114.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Maxim Mrva | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Akira Santillan | 18c | 75.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Akira Santillan | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maxim Mrva | 72c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maxim Mrva | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Maxim Mrva | 72c | 35.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Maxim Mrva | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Maxim Mrva | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Maxim Mrva | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.