TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

San Luis Potosi: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadan

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alan Magadanof Stefan Kozlov, Alan Magadan
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Kozlov40c10,749$4,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.279,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alan Magadan72c8,505$6,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.136,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Stefan Kozlov1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601030%3 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick10cpaid+116.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Stefan Kozlov1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick7cpaid+29.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Stefan Kozlov1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60229.1%2 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-42.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stefan Kozlov56c4,570$2,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,554.322,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5886…fe3bbacked Stefan Kozlov1c3,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50273.7%1 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alan Magadan48c3,295$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.728,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stefan Kozlov36c3,063$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.357,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac7…336cbacked Alan Magadan36c2,671$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.517639.5%30 W · 46 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Alan Magadan39c2,343$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.134,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alan Magadan42c2,142$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.843,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x627f…06dcbacked Stefan Kozlov39c1,456$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.474744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Alan Magadan53c1,230$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.112,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Stefan Kozlov1c1,010$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31389.4%13 W · 125 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick4cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Stefan Kozlov45c988.69$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.4737741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Alan Magadan50c846.56$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.591,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Stefan Kozlov51c756.24$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3633556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Alan Magadan46c623.55$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.31,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alan Magadan47c610.12$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Stefan Kozlov6c608.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2723249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Stefan Kozlov53c605.26$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6924638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Alan Magadan15c485.05$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.2912835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alan Magadan45c414.81$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.155,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Alan Magadan53c404.13$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.581,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Stefan Kozlov54c342.79$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.111,12350.3%565 W · 558 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Alan Magadan76c340.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.6350156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Stefan Kozlov37c335.57$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.081,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alan Magadan76c335.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.41,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Alan Magadan76c304.59$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.185348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Alan Magadan16c296.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2710829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Stefan Kozlov49c277.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.879,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Alan Magadan76c265.85$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.931,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stefan Kozlov43c240.81$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.742,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Alan Magadan52c230.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1721243.9%93 W · 119 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Alan Magadan77c229.3$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.744465.9%29 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Alan Magadan58c225.97$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.471,67353%887 W · 786 L+45.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Alan Magadan30c219.14$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Alan Magadan76c206.64$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7337153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Stefan Kozlov51c187.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.954,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Stefan Kozlov56c177.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.048544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Alan Magadan77c171.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5657052.6%300 W · 270 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1b…0699backed Alan Magadan63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alan Magadan41c143.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.966,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Stefan Kozlov51c129.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3613958.3%81 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Stefan Kozlov80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.848650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Stefan Kozlov80c123.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.823248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Alan Magadan76c110.27$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.859263%58 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Alan Magadan76c109.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2541658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Kozlov65c105.68$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.392,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Stefan Kozlov46c98.7$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.41,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Stefan Kozlov46c91.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2829958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x806b…cccabacked Alan Magadan49c91.12$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.473246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Stefan Kozlov27c90.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415059.3%89 W · 61 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Alan Magadan42c83.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.782055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Alan Magadan17c83.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5928724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stefan Kozlov36c78.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.173,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alan Magadan75c74.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.532,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…adddbacked Alan Magadan70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4315374.5%114 W · 39 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Alan Magadan40c68.41$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1111041.8%46 W · 64 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Alan Magadan75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6718478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Alan Magadan16c63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.921,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Stefan Kozlov35c62.59$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.115149%25 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Alan Magadan80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Alan Magadan43c61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7750259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Stefan Kozlov36c52.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9233557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Stefan Kozlov36c52.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9213955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Alan Magadan62c49.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7745147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Stefan Kozlov35c49.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5378248.3%378 W · 404 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Alan Magadan47c47.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0520836.5%76 W · 132 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Stefan Kozlov29c45.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.539955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Stefan Kozlov38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.248235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Alan Magadan50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ab3dbacked Alan Magadan47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.144759.6%28 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Alan Magadan61c32.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4440048.5%194 W · 206 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alan Magadan67c31.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.262,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Alan Magadan40c30.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.517557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Stefan Kozlov55c28.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.664346.2%297 W · 346 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stefan Kozlov71c18.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.916,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Stefan Kozlov71c18.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9112831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Stefan Kozlov78c15.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9637330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.