Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e4330027aca2c59e68a02b07aee2047b433a919672ed53341f9cc5574e1bf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 65c | 1,541$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.87 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 65c | 1,480$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.21 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,199$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.28 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 54c | 999.93$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.97 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 473.39$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 53c | 445.22$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 20c | 307.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 46c | 168.28$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 162.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 46c | 156.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 80c | 148.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 142.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 71c | 138.39$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 44c | 127.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 45c | 126.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 45c | 126.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked No | 46c | 126.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed No | 46c | 105.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Yes | 55c | 102.17$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.97 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6158…81bcbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 46c | 99.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 48c | 94.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 48c | 94.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 44c | 90.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 44c | 89.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed No | 46c | 84.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 74.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 45c | 70.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 54c | 61.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 46c | 59.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 53c | 49.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 48c | 46.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 48c | 46.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 47c | 40.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 48c | 39.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 48c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 48c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 48c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 48c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 47c | 25.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 52c | 25.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 80c | 15.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will VfL Bochum vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.