Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f2e0bbd45269d27795e3914d0c85bb37c0a4e0c15338a9eb5ba4c885bcb8a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yakutou Brothersof Yakutou Brothers, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 42c | 3,972$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.04 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 2,454$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.8 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 38c | 2,344$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.74 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 50c | 2,316$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.53 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 29c | 2,000$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 1,332$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.78 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 38c | 1,328$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 1,327$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.46 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,086$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.69 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 869.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 43c | 840.71$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Yandex | 2c | 648.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 41c | 597$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.45 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 73c | 579.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 53c | 564.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.76 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Yandex | 71c | 564.04$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.99 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Yandex | 59c | 501$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.79 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 477$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.13 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…156fbacked Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 403.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yakutou Brothers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 394.88$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakutou Brothers | 75c | 363.14$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.32 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Yakutou Brothers | 23c | 359.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.13 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Yandex | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Yakutou Brothers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yakutou Brothers | 34c | 250$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Yandex | 74c | 214.19$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.38 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 205.66$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 201$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Yakutou Brothers | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…caa6backed Yakutou Brothers | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 40c | 191.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Yakutou Brothers | 64c | 185.14$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 182.8$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yakutou Brothers | 37c | 179.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.91 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 146.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.05 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Yandex | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b84…48e3backed Yakutou Brothers | 30c | 114.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Yakutou Brothers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Yandex | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Yandex | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Yandex | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Yakutou Brothers | 45c | 77.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 77.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Yandex | 26c | 70.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 80c | 66.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Yandex | 65c | 66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…ec88backed Yakutou Brothers | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Yandex | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yakutou Brothers | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Yandex | 77c | 53.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Yandex | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 41.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 40.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Team Yandex | 39c | 38.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…78c6backed Team Yandex | 42c | 38.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Yakutou Brothers | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Yandex | 33c | 31.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yakutou Brothers | 56c | 28.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 21.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…9a99backed Team Yandex | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 67c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Yandex | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.