Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2385dd7e5217f122bc8af1cb67d1f661583c894c8dc9e40d4cd297e4582c1c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Yakutou Brothers, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 73c | 6,733$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.61 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 4,393$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.48 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 3,281$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.95 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Yakutou Brothers | 27c | 3,077$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.9 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Yandex | 70c | 2,691$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.62 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 74c | 2,613$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.33 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Yakutou Brothers | 29c | 1,500$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Yandex | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Yakutou Brothers | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 1,168$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.99 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 1,127$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.06 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 1,064$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 1,053$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.24 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakutou Brothers | 22c | 959.99$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Team Yandex | 69c | 799.98$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Yandex | 72c | 490$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 348.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Yandex | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakutou Brothers | 31c | 161.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…3499backed Team Yandex | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Yandex | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Team Yandex | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Team Yandex | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Yakutou Brothers | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Yandex | 72c | 87.34$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…1dc4backed Team Yandex | 67c | 67.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…b902backed Team Yandex | 74c | 66.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bef…be32backed Yakutou Brothers | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817e…7c6cbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 44.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 43.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Team Yandex | 71c | 26.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Team Yandex | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c20…1713backed Team Yandex | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yakutou Brothers vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerYakutou Brothers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.