Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x271c4dcf985437f06db41833cd8eb943f94ecd9a63faafda01a75ed3785ea285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 2,239$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.23 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 75c | 1,091$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 24c | 1,034$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 990$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.9 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 15c | 821.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 24c | 818.32$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 76c | 810$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 750$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 36c | 577$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.72 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 361$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 168.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 10c | 168$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 129.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 39c | 111.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 19c | 99.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 61c | 98.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 63c | 96.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 40c | 82.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 39c | 78.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 38c | 71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 76c | 56.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 36c | 55.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 75c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 78c | 48.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 66c | 33.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.