Mls · resolved market
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fa797cd3316ece9e362304d80f9c58f126f53ac5955889ec7e9dd0443c77ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 4,633$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.11 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 46c | 1,543$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.63 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 1,437$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.77 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 52c | 1,010$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.77 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 28c | 801.15$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.3 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 50c | 634.12$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 46c | 620.01$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.65 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 552$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 24c | 470$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8d…b0e1backed No | 58c | 470$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 465.24$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.04 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 48c | 410.09$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 15c | 387.42$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.31 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 54c | 375$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 341.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.67 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 45c | 335.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 43c | 317.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 47c | 311.32$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 78c | 292.27$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 271.52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.79 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 269.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 15c | 253.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.33 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 54c | 253$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.73 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 15c | 233.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 16c | 220.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.1 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 204.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 34c | 195.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 174.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 47c | 133.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 78c | 132.14$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…4501backed No | 77c | 129$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…892fbacked Yes | 52c | 115.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 46c | 104.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 47c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 54c | 97.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 35c | 87.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 47c | 86.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 46c | 84.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked Yes | 60c | 83.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 24c | 79.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 27c | 77.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 77c | 73.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 77c | 71.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes | 32c | 67.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Yes | 47c | 55.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 53.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 51.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…ab49backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 51c | 51.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…9e2bbacked Yes | 55c | 45.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed No | 77c | 44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 41.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…1642backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 76c | 32.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 34c | 29.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf75…099fbacked Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 47c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 46c | 26.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 38cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 58c | 21.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed No | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 52c | 20.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…34d6backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 54c | 19.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 71c | 15.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?No won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.