Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e68e7129929e80daa23427c6458040b6e488465de66569894ee510375ff60b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 20c | 4,108$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.82 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 22c | 3,216$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.59 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 78c | 3,162$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.71 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 78c | 2,592$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.5 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 2,486$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.76 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 63c | 1,823$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.1 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 893.92$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.58 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 2c | 840$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 740$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 22c | 316.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 79c | 256.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 40c | 253.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.49 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Yes | 16c | 251.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 60c | 233.86$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 191 | 72.3%138 W · 53 L | +36.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 211.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 21c | 209.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 192$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked No | 78c | 191.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed No | 78c | 191.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 45c | 183.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 75c | 181$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 152.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 39c | 102.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.24 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 26c | 99.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed Yes | 21c | 96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 22c | 80.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked No | 77c | 61.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 57c | 53.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 204 | 49%100 W · 104 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 22c | 45.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed No | 43c | 36.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 22.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 78c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 73c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed Yes | 56c | 17.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 68c | 16.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 74c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked No | 79c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-22?this page
- Will Charlotte FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.