South American Leagues · resolved market
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2736a5487693cb797b9054e9230c87c76952a7d0d160480f5ffb67514fe2d883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,258$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.36 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 10c | 539.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…b5b2backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 42c | 455.84$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 43c | 452.93$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 23c | 345.77$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 42c | 323.46$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 10c | 283.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 257.81$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Yes | 23c | 207.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 200.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 22c | 168.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked No | 64c | 149.49$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.09 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…fa2dbacked Yes | 42c | 139.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…2277backed Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 96.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 93.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 41c | 70.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 42c | 34.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Yes | 41c | 26.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…ae21backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7770…f99bbacked No | 60c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 58c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 78c | 17.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Vélez Sarsfield won
- Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.