Premier League · resolved market
FA Cup: Preston North End vs. Wycombe Wanderers (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2791fc53b9cf0a8d7ccb7602c88e948d00e426ef906216b902a1ee1a03b5066e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestonof Preston, Wycombe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wycombe | 40c | 7,338$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.77 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Preston | 60c | 6,450$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Preston | 71c | 1,189$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.56 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Preston | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wycombe | 35c | 568$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Preston | 59c | 335.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Wycombe | 40c | 172.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wycombe | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Wycombe | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Wycombe | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Wycombe | 52c | 95.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Wycombe | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Wycombe | 48c | 68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Preston | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…34dabacked Preston | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56c…2698backed Preston | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…bb79backed Preston | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.